市場調査では、商用車ローンは今後 5 年間で前年比 28% の成長が見込まれています。商用車向け融資を提供するある企業は、業界の需要に応えたいと考えていましたが、そのアプリケーションでは、ローン処理と請求の需要増加に対応できませんでした。同社は、需要を満たすために新しいシステムを導入しています。このプロジェクトは 5 年前に開始され、200 万米ドルの費用がかかりました。プロジェクト メトリックは 5 年後に評価される予定です。プロジェクトの投資収益率 (ROI) は 11% と計算されています。プロジェクト スポンサーは、プロジェクトの希望 ROI が達成されなかったことに憤慨しています。過去 5 年間の商用車ローンの実際の需要は次のとおりです。
正解:B
The issue that caused the project sponsors to be upset that the desired ROI for the project was not met is flawed assumptions. Assumptions are statements that are accepted as true or certain without proof or evidence.
Assumptions can affect the planning, estimation, and execution of a project or a solution. In this case, the project sponsors assumed that the market studies projected a 28% year over year growth for five years for commercial vehicle loans, but the actual demand was lower than expected.
The other options are incorrect because:
Option A is incorrect because risk planning is not an issue that caused the project sponsors to be upset that the desired ROI for the project was not met. Risk planning is a process of identifying, analyzing, and responding to potential threats or opportunities that may affect a project or a solution. Risk planning can help to mitigate or avoid negative risks and exploit or enhance positive risks.
Option C is incorrect because demand forecasting is not an issue that caused the project sponsors to be upset that the desired ROI for the project was not met. Demand forecasting is a process of estimating or predicting the future demand for a product, service, or solution based on historical data, market trends, customer behavior, etc. Demand forecasting can help to optimize resource allocation, inventory management, pricing strategy, etc.
Option D is incorrect because capability planning is not an issue that caused the project sponsors to be upset that the desired ROI for the project was not met. Capability planning is a process of determining and developing the capabilities or skills that an organization needs to achieve its goals or outcomes.
Capability planning can help to enhance organizational performance, competitiveness, and innovation.
References:
BABOK Guide v3, section 10.2: Assumptions and Constraints
CCBA Exam Questions, question 13